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Wednesday, July 1, 2020

Trump team’s brewing debate: How to message a raging health emergency


The Trump White House has a new internal battle: how much to talk publicly about a pandemic that’s crippling huge swaths of America.

President Donald Trump’s top aides are divided over the merits of resuming national news briefings to keep the public informed about the latest coronavirus statistics as infection rates spike in large states including California, Texas, Florida, Arizona and Georgia.

White House chief of staff Mark Meadows, senior adviser Jared Kushner, press secretary Kayleigh McEnany and counselor to the president Hope Hicks are among the aides arguing against these regular sessions because they want to keep the White House focused on the path forward and the nascent economic recovery — without scaring too much of the country about a virus resurgence when infections are rising at different paces in different regions.

Other senior aides, as well as Vice President Mike Pence and his team, believe keeping Americans up to date about the nature of the outbreak is critical as the death toll rises. More than 126,000 people have perished in the U.S. because of the coronavirus, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the government’s own experts are warning of serious trouble ahead.

The brewing internal fight shows the extent to which the White House has lost control of its messaging on Covid-19 — the disease caused by the novel coronavirus — as the majority of voters disapprove of Trump’s handling of the virus, according to interviews with a half-dozen current and former senior administration officials and Republicans close to the White House.

Trump’s standing in the polls has slipped in recent weeks among senior citizens, suburban women and white non-college-educated voters, all critical constituencies for the president heading into the heat of his reelection race. Top aides cannot determine the best way for Trump to appear in control of the response — while the president himself has remained focused on culture-war concerns such as protests, the removal of monuments and the funding of law enforcement.


Trump has told advisers and allies he expects a vaccine for the novel coronavirus to arrive this fall, a timeline for which there is no certainty, and he wants aides to offer both facts and a message of optimism to the public, a senior administration official said.

Since the federal government’s Covid-19 task force discontinued its daily briefings in May, Pence has taken on most of the administration’s coronavirus messaging responsibilities — through interviews with local news outlets, outreach to religious groups and engagement with key constituencies. Several of his trips outside Washington in the past two months have featured informal updates on state reopenings, disease transmission and the status of a vaccine.

Now, Trump aides are trying to decide whether to put the national spotlight back on what they have spent months arguing is a series of state and local issues — that had previously been relegated to the vice president’s office.

“Cutting back on the briefings left a void that was filled by the media and the president’s political opponents in order to mislead people, and it resulted on the administration being put on the defensive,” a second senior administration official said.

Core to their conundrum is the president himself. Trump loves the spotlight, and his briefings during the heart of the crisis turned into protracted events that sometimes stretched for two hours — with the president straying off message and generating negative headlines.

Those sessions have “no end goal and just focus on the political issue of the day,” said another senior administration official. “A large group of advisers in the White House think it would be more effective to do more regionally focused press than national briefings.”


The coronavirus void at the White House — after a historic stretch of briefings by the president himself — is highlighting the holes in Trump’s latest approach as he focuses on other matters while blaming the media for focusing on the coronavirus.

Trump’s handling of the virus risks damaging his standing even further, making him look out of touch with even his own supporters in red states now struggling with the virus resurgence.

“You can’t spin a pandemic,” said David Axelrod, the former senior adviser to former President Barack Obama. “I mean, everyone is living with it. The reality of it is too obvious.

“The best thing to do in a crisis — any crisis — if you are president is to be as forthcoming as possible and to allow the professionals who are experts to take the lead,” Axelrod said. “During the H1N1 virus back in 2009, I think every briefing, but one, was held at the CDC. They were the lead agency. They had the best info.”

The CDC has held a three briefings since mid-March — though the agency’s director recently promised to reinstate more regular briefings. The latest briefing by the White House coronavirus task force took place Friday at the Department of Health and Human Services. Pence also visited the U.S. Public Health Service Commissioned Corps headquarters in Rockville, Md., on Tuesday to offer remarks and answer reporters’ questions.

“At the request of President Trump, Vice President Pence is pleased to provide the White House Coronavirus Task Force briefings to the American people,” Pence spokesman Devin O’Malley said.

Some White House officials, such as Meadows, want Dr. Deborah Birx, a global infectious diseases expert on the White House task force, to become the face of the coronavirus response and make appearances on local media in hard-hit areas like Texas, Arizona and Florida. Birx joined Pence on his trip last Sunday to Texas, where they met with Gov. Greg Abbott and pleaded with the public to wear protective masks. She is expected to travel to Arizona with Pence on Wednesday as that state struggles with an overwhelming surge in coronavirus cases.

The White House is also working on a public service announcement on Covid-19 that features Surgeon General Jerome Adams, Birx and Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Stephen Hahn.

The government’s top infectious disease expert, Dr. Anthony Fauci, is viewed by some White House aides as an expert who promotes too much fear-mongering, even though he’s an icon in public health circles and generally seen as trusted by the public in surveys.

Before a Senate panel on Tuesday, Fauci warned the U.S. could see an explosion of daily cases if the coronavirus continues to spread. The rise in cases in the South and the West “puts the entire country at risk,” he added.

“We are now having 40-plus-thousand new cases a day,”Fauci said. “I would not be surprised if we go up to 100,000 a day if this does not turn around. And so, I am very concerned.”



Trump’s handling of the coronavirus has become a line of political attack for Democrats’ presumptive presidential nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden. Biden devoted the majority of a speech in Wilmington, Del., on Tuesday to criticizing the Trump administration’s response to the virus and outlining the steps he would take if he is elected in November.

“Month after month, as other leaders took the necessary steps to get the virus under control, Donald Trump failed us,” Biden said. He argued the White House should offer weekly updates on vaccine distribution and production and that Trump should send a clear signal on wearing masks.

Public health experts say the administration’s messaging on the virus, dating to January, has been contradictory and confusing: from Trump assuring Americans the virus would be gone by April to the administration’s advice on wearing masks to Trump’s own promotion of hydroxychloroquine, a drug proven for treatment of Covid-19. They say all of that has contributed to the U.S. under-performance compared with Europe and other advanced economies.

“The briefings we saw previously were basically propaganda exercises,” said Gregg Gonsalves, an assistant professor in epidemiology at the Yale School of Medicine. “They provided a bare minimum to the public on how to protect themselves, and they were often a vehicle for misinformation and disinformation.”

“If we have briefings, they need to be science-based. They need to be fact-based,” Gonsalves added. “We are not asking that much out of this administration.”



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Why the Descendants of Confederate Generals Are Happy to See Their Names Go






For one group of Americans, the raging debate over the monuments and military bases honoring the men who fought to preserve slavery during the Civil War is uniquely personal: their descendants.

The dispute, which has become one of the most heated cultural and political flashpoints following protests over racial inequality, lands in Congress this week. The Senate is taking up bipartisan legislation to require the Pentagon to erase from every slab of granite and the gates of every garrison the names of Confederate officers, including the names of 10 Army bases that stretch across the South from Virginia to Texas.

President Donald Trump has said he opposes such a move, and several Republican senators have vowed to try to stop it—including one who declared that the effort “smacks of the cancel culture the left wants to impose on the nation.” On Tuesday night, Trump tweeted: “I will Veto the Defense Authorization Bill if the Elizabeth “Pocahontas” Warren (of all people!) Amendment, which will lead to the renaming (plus other bad things!) of Fort Bragg, Fort Robert E. Lee, and many other Military Bases from which we won Two World Wars, is in the Bill!“

Most of the general public seems ambivalent about the fate of these symbols, with a recent POLITICO/Morning Consult poll showing that a significant majority believes the bases should be left alone, or simply doesn’t know what to do about them. Those whose family ties have been a historical curiosity for most of their lives now find themselves witnessing a nationwide argument that pertains to them, yet they have no special influence over.

POLITICO tracked down 16 relatives of eight Confederate military leaders who are memorialized with military bases or whose names adorn other prominent barracks or facilities. Most of these relatives have said little if anything publicly about how they view their forebears’ legacy. They are a diverse group—politically and geographically, if not racially, hailing from North, South, East and West. They are teachers, scientists, journalists, military veterans, financial advisers and a retired yoga and surfing instructor.



They have a surprisingly consistent, though not unanimous, view. It is time for a change.

Most passionately believe their ancestors' names should, as one of the Senate bills stipulates, be excised from all military monuments, buildings, streets, ships, planes or paraphernalia. A minority of them are equally fervent that their ancestors deserve to be honored. And some who hold these diametrically opposing views are in the same family.

Some of the kin of the notorious Nathan Bedford Forrest, who has a street named in his honor at Fort Campbell in Kentucky, are not on speaking terms over the issue. Most descendants of Leonidas Polk want the base named for him changed, but not all. The descendants of General A.P. Hill insist that renaming the base bearing his name would be an unjust humiliation. The relatives of General John Bell Hood are torn about how to strike the proper balance between righting the wrongs of history and still acknowledging their ancestor's honorable postwar accomplishments.

The Army bases in question are Fort Rucker in Alabama; Forts Benning and Gordon in Georgia; Fort Polk and Camp Beauregard in Louisiana; Fort Bragg in North Carolina; Fort Hood in Texas; and Forts A.P. Hill, Pickett and Lee in Virginia. They were established long after the Civil War, mainly at two key junctures when the federal government was undertaking major military buildups—first to wage World War I and then World War II.

At the time, when the military was still segregated into Black and white units, many elected leaders from the South, including powerful members of Congress, were avowed racists. They also sought to recast the Civil War as not about slavery but a defense of states’ rights.

Only recently has the Army said there is reason to reconsider the names. As recently as 2015, following a deadly mass shooting in a Black church in South Carolina by a white supremacist, Major General Malcolm Frost, then the Army's chief spokesman, explained that “every Army installation is named for a soldier who holds a place in our military history.”

He stressed that the names “represent individuals, not causes or ideologies,” and the decision to name bases for Confederates was “in the spirit of reconciliation, not division.”


Yet for many in the bloodline of these rebel officers, there is no doubt about what needs to be done today.

“I think white people should follow the lead of Black activists and people of color more broadly fighting for equality and rights, and support this struggle in any way we can,” said Mimi Kirk, the great-great-great granddaughter of General John Brown Gordon, who wants Georgia’s Fort Gordon renamed so it is not honoring a leading white supremacist.

Yet for others such a move would be an affront. “No. Absolutely not,” said Tim Hill, 53, when asked if the post in Virginia named for his direct descendant, A.P. Hill, should be changed. “At the time, he fought for what he believed in. From what I’ve read, the fight for him wasn’t about slavery, it was just about, he referred to [it] as ‘Northern aggression.’”

Others say they are still struggling with how their ancestor's legacy should be remembered. Hood’s cousin, Stephen M. “Sam” Hood, who has published two books about the general, maintains it is “instructive to look at the individuals who are honored, not the causes for which they served for a brief period of their lives or careers.”

But most of the descendants who have shared their views say it is past time to honor only Americans that everyone can agree are deserving.

“We have a lot of people in American history that we should be valuing that we’re not and I think now is the time to reassess those things and have other people—Native Americans, women, and African Americans,” says Milbry Polk, 66, whose forebear Gen. Leonidas Polk is honored with Fort Polk in Louisiana. “So many people make up our fabric of America that we should be looking for role models there, not just people who were generals.”

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“Once my grandfather discovered [our ancestry] the family kind of took it to heart. They’re very proud of it. I can’t remember at what point my dad got that painting [of Forrest] in his living room, but I remember I was always kind of uncomfortable with it. It’s a giant portrait. The portrait has him sitting on a horse riding, looking very militaristic and very heroic … in his Confederate uniform.

“My family likes to tout that he was the first grand wizard of the Ku Klux Klan but he left the organization when he realized it was not just a social club; they were secretly lynching the Black community. And so he left when he figured that out, which makes him a good guy. And I’m of the mindset: If that’s all it takes to be a good guy, I think you need a bit more, especially if you’re going to be honoring him.”


“[My] letter to the editor made my Dad pretty much yell at me for about 30 minutes the other day when I called him for Father’s Day. “My Dad said, ‘You know, he was a tactical genius on the battlefield. They still study his tactics to this day. That's what we’re proud of.’ And he also said—this was a good one—‘his slaves loved him. So that shows he wasn’t a bad guy.’ My counterpoint was ‘I’m sure the slaves would have loved to not be slaves.’ He also brought up the point, ‘You can’t put today’s morals on history because,’ he said, ‘if I had been born at that time, I’d probably own slaves myself,’ which I said was a very strong possibility. But that doesn’t change how I feel about it today.

“Any sort of honoring or glorifying of him probably is past it’s due now. I’m of the mindset: Yeah, it’s a part of our history, so don’t erase it or forget it. Just don’t glorify it.”







“I would argue that it should be renamed. It is long past time that the United States comes to real terms with its history of oppressing Black people, and symbols that glorify this oppression and violence. Confederate statues, institutions like army bases or schools named after Confederate figures should be removed or renamed. It’s one part of what should be a broad, in-depth process of reparations.

“I think white people should follow the lead of Black activists and people of color more broadly fighting for equality and rights, and support this struggle in any way we can. This means offering support and solidarity, including by denouncing symbols like Confederate statues or institutions that bear the name of Confederate leaders. I stand in solidarity, for example, with the group of activists working to remove the statue of General John Gordon on the grounds of the Georgia Capitol in Atlanta.”


“In regard to my ancestor’s name on an Army base, I think we have a real opportunity here to confront the parallels between U.S. policing of Black, indigenous and people of color domestically and abroad. U.S. cities and the U.S. federal government use significant percentages of their budgets to fund police and the military, respectively. The movement to defund the police parallels the demand to end U.S. military funding, which has fueled the killing of hundreds of thousands in Iraq, Afghanistan, Palestine, and beyond. Both calls for defunding demand that such taxpayer funds be used in areas like education, health care and other services that support and elevate communities rather than criminalize or kill them.”





“At the time, he fought for what he believed in. From what I’ve read, the fight for him wasn’t about slavery, it was just about, he referred to [it] as northern aggression.

“I am the most nonviolent, non-racist person you’ll meet. I’ve got friends of all walks of life, all denominations, all sexual preferences, different countries. What slavery was was horrible and I think it was a terrible thing, but that’s not what the whole Civil War was about. That became part of it. The Civil War was about when South Carolina seceded from the Union because they felt that the taxes and the representation were not there.”




“I don’t judge any of the people on either of the sides [of this debate] because they made America who we are today.

“I think the story of A.P. Hill is more about his leadership, his military success, his sacrifice and his dedication to his cause. … Until this recent situation, we never really put it into the context of Black and white or racial. It was more about him being a military hero, it wasn’t about what they were fighting for. Never once did we ever think, talk or contemplate the fact of who he was was a result, a product, or anyway tied to race.

“I just think it’s really sad that we’re trying to erase history. No matter what the story was, it’s a part of who we are.”


“History, it made us who we are today, it’s a part of who we are today, we’re better from it, and so I think it’s more of a positive thing than a negative. I think if you look at it in the proper context, I think what you could say is ‘Look at what these people did,’ whether they were for or against African Americans, and say, ‘Look at where we’ve come and look at that, we just had eight years of the leader of the free world being an African-American’ and say, ‘My goodness that’s who we were and look at who we are today, what a great thing we have.’

“I think if you’re going to teach history, you should teach the good and the bad. You should talk about … why they made a monument after him and the good things he did and also the bad things.”





“His postwar conduct as an American citizen became a model among ex-Confederates. Urging reconciliation and patriotism, Hood [said], ‘With a majority of Americans favoring peace and good-will to all, there will be a strong minority constantly probing the wound and arousing old enmities. Let us, nevertheless, welcome reconciliation upon a fair basis, for the sake of humanity and all that is dear to us, but remain steadfast to principle.’

“Hood advocated integration of African-Americans, and urged the rejection of racism, imploring Southerners, ‘To frown upon all such organizations—if they indeed exist—as that of Ku Klux; encourage the education of the Black man, wean him from those who would instill into his mind distrust and resentment, and make him our friend—for he has become an element of power, and we can ill afford to foster such an enemy in our midst.’

“Before his name is removed and replaced from public places, those in authority and positions of influence should educate themselves about John Bell Hood, the man, soldier, and citizen, and do likewise for other former Confederates.”







“I remember growing up, seeing the pictures of Robert E. Lee in the house. So obviously my grandparents and great grandparents had different views. As I grew older, I started to have conversations about what it meant to be a white person in the South and I started to connect the dots. … Especially since Charlottesville.

“What we name things also says [much] about what we value. Our soldiers who are Black, the discomfort that some of them or their families must feel going into a place like Fort Lee. Do we want to celebrate people who were traitors against the United States Army, who fought against this country? We name things after people we value and we name things that we value after people who we value even more. In my eyes this is a no-brainer. … It’s a heritage that needs to be disowned.”


“Lee fought for the continued enslavement of Black people and if we want to value that by having Lee Highway, by having Fort Lee, by having Washington and Lee [University], that says a lot about our country, [it] says a lot about what we’ve resigned ourselves to.

“There’s a conversation obviously that I think everybody’s making right now about the need to preserve history and to talk about history but my rebuttal to that is, I just wonder about how many people have learned about history from a military base or from a statue or the name of a school."




“I was very close to my grandmother. She passed away in 2011. But I knew someone who knew someone that was enslaved by our family. In one sense we talked about it like it’s a long time ago. In another sense it’s right now.

“Maybe there’s this sense among some of the older members of my family that it was a very long time ago. And it's been dealt with by the war being won by the Union. Justice was served, slaves were freed, and that's the end of it. But clearly, in this present moment, as we struggle with the wide scope of police brutality, the incredible inequities when it comes to wealth, income opportunity, health care, you name it, a legacy of that history has not been addressed.”


“When there was the initial push to take down the statue of Robert E. Lee there in Charlottesville ... that was sort of an awakening for me like, ‘Oh my gosh, I've been living my whole life with this history, with this family history, and I've never really thought about it deeply and considered, you know, what it really means.’

“We’ve gotten to the point where it’s time to first confront this history and the truth of it. It isn’t some noble lost cause that is the reason why these names and symbols have been chosen. It’s because of what these folks stood for during their lifetimes. And that was the superiority of one race over another.”







“I grew up in the military, my father and all my uncles and grandfathers went to West Point, and I see nothing wrong with renaming the posts. Confederate generals were not members of the United States Army so I think the army posts should be named for people who served in the United States military. None of us are pro-Confederacy. We’re all pretty liberal in our thinking. I’ve lived in the South a long time now. I live in a town that’s predominantly African-American, and my children are products of the public schools. There isn’t a single one of us who would have a Confederate flag in our house by any means. It is time to rename the army posts.”




“It’s time to move on. I get pretty upset when I see people going around with Confederate flags trying to pretend that this is a big sign of patriotism and important values that we should all share as a country. I think that’s total nonsense. That was a losing side, they fought nobly, they were brave people, wonderful soldiers, but it was the wrong cause.”






“We can remake ourselves and we can value the things that are important. Leonidas Polk valued education and he was the founder of Sewanee: the University of the South. We have to have monuments that speak to all people and if they don’t speak to all people, they shouldn’t be there. You can’t erase history but you can certainly change monuments.”


“America has done such an appalling job really of dealing with the legacy of slavery and dealing with the legacy of the discrimination that happened after slavery. So in that context, I think it's entirely appropriate to rename the bases. The reality is I'm proud of my history as a family and I have definitely benefited from that in some intangible way. I have a self-confidence that I might not otherwise have and there are certainly times in my life when people say 'Oh, you're related to a president' and that's maybe made a difference to them and so I guess I probably have benefited more than I think.”




“There’s a lot of us who are very upset about what’s going on and that it’s taking so long to have such a large group of our population be treated with respect as human beings. Frankly, I want to say if you want to keep it Fort Polk, name it after my uncle who was such an extraordinary person, William Polk, or his brother George Polk who was the journalist who was assassinated in Greece in 1948 for risking his life to tell the truth.”




“I’m proud of my name and my family history, but I’m not proud of that part of it. We need to understand that changing names of things isn’t going to fix the bigger problem, but if that’s a start, then I’m in favor of it. I felt sick to my stomach [when I learned] that he was a slave owner. We all have an obligation to understand what life is like for the other in this country. I certainly don’t want people to feel bad to walk into a building that’s named after an ancestor of mine.”


“Before we just go around and malign a bunch of people, I think it would be important to know some of the facts, and I know that Leonidas Polk was a very religious man. I think what everybody’s trying to do now is rewrite history and tear apart our heritage and I’m just not for all that now, especially when it’s going to be a huge cost to the American taxpayer. … I do think it’s highly appropriate that we look at racism and how we can be better as a country and that we treat our fellow human beings with respect and kindness and admiration and a good heart, but I think to go back and tear down statues and try to rewrite history [is] counterproductive to who we are as a country.”







“I support removal of all statues commemorating and celebrating the Southern Confederates in public locations. They should be permanently removed and either destroyed or sunk in the ocean for a fishing/diving reef: the Graveyard of the Confederacy.

“As to the statues on battlefields, such as Gettysburg, where both Union and Confederate soldiers are represented, it is my opinion that they serve a valid historical purpose in that context, where people can learn about history and the terrible consequences when people refuse to treat all people as equal.”







“I served as a political appointee during the Obama administration. My family created the Confederate States of America, owned thousands of slaves, and I proudly served the first African-American president, my way of atoning for my family's sins and crimes.

“I support the decision to rename Army bases. Rucker and Benning led soldiers against U.S. troops. It's time that their names were removed. It's time for Army bases to be named after leaders who inspire others to fight for the United States, not bigots who fought to preserve slavery.”



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Trump’s North American trade deal starts now. Here’s what to expect.


President Donald Trump’s biggest trade achievement, the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, goes into effect Wednesday, replacing NAFTA and ending his threat to break apart the three-nation free trade zone.

The pact is far from an assured success. It’s also landing amid rising trade tensions with Canada and widespread concern about Mexico’s ability to enforce labor protections. Plus, any economic benefits and job gains are years away.

Here’s a look at what could come next as the three nations implement thousands of pages of complicated rules:

Trump’s still threatening new tariffs on Canada

The USMCA is taking effect in the middle of brewing tensions between the U.S. and Canada over a recent Trump administration threat to slap tariffs again on imports of Canadian aluminum.

The U.S. is pressing for Canada to impose quotas to slow the surge of its exports of the metal or face a 10 percent duty. Reimposing the tariffs, which were lifted in May 2019, would likely prompt retaliation from Canada on U.S. exports.

Business leaders on Tuesday, in a clear message to Trump, urged the three countries to resist imposing tariffs “and other barriers or measures that will undermine the objectives of the comprehensive trade agreement and weaken North American competitiveness.”



“Duty-free trade will underpin the success of the agreement,” leaders of the U.S.' Business Roundtable, Business Council of Canada and Consejo Mexicano de Negocios said in a statement.

Meanwhile, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and other lawmakers have already begun to worry that Canada will evade its commitments to open up its tightly controlled dairy market to U.S. producers.

Canada, for its part, has dismissed that concern.

“We have always been fully compliant with all of the commitments that we have made under our [free trade agreements], including to the United States and that’s not going to change,” Canadian Ambassador to the U.S. Kirsten Hillman told POLITICO.

Expect fights with Mexico

Some of the biggest points of contention are between the United States and Mexico. U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said last month that he already anticipates heated fights with Mexico on labor, biotechnology, intellectual property and energy — all issues of strong interest to lawmakers on Capitol Hill.

The problems stem mainly from recent actions by the Mexican government and Congress that make it harder for American companies to send their exports and invest in Mexico.

Mexico’s Environment Ministry under President Andrés Manuel López Obrador hasn't approved import permits for agricultural biotechnology products, like genetically modified organisms, or GMOs. Mexican law allows them to be sold but the country has largely banned U.S. companies' access to the Mexican market since López Obrador took office in December 2018.

Lighthizer, speaking at a House Ways and Means hearing, said he expects to use the USMCA to force Mexico to start approving U.S. exports of such farm goods.

The U.S. refinery industry is also asking Lighthizer to fight a recent Mexican government move to change investment rules to favor state-owned oil company Pemex at the expense of U.S. producers. Lighthizer said he expects to “require equal treatment” from Mexico.

Mexico has a heavy lift on labor issues

Mexico promised to finish carrying through on its new labor laws, as required under the new trade deal. The labor reforms give Mexican workers the right to vote in independent unions and cast secret votes. The Trump administration, Democrats and labor unions are expected to pay close attention to whether Mexico meets those commitments.

House Democrats and labor unions have already begun to press Mexico to deliver. On Tuesday, a group of 59 Democrats, some of who voted for the USMCA, urged Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to push for the release of Mexican labor lawyer Susana Prieto, who was arrested last month on what critics say are phony charges of inciting riot, threats and coercion.



House Ways and Means Chairman Richard Neal said separately on Tuesday that “Mexico must do better” to ensure workers’ rights are upheld.

Mexico says it is working in good faith to improve its labor conditions.

“Without any doubt, we will have some challenges because there are areas in which we are behind the U.S. and Canada and we will have to catch up,” Mexican Ambassador to the U.S. Martha Bárcena told POLITICO in an interview.

Changes to auto manufacturing

One of the biggest differences between NAFTA and USMCA is stricter rules on how North American autos and auto parts qualify for reduced tariffs. Trump has long believed such a move will help bring back American jobs from abroad.

The new rules, which aim to increase car production within the region, will require automakers to make significant and costly changes to how they make their cars. Auto manufacturers are being given three to seven years, depending on the type of car, to fully comply with the complicated new regulations.

The U.S. International Trade Commission has estimated that the new provisions will lead to a net increase of 28,000 full-time U.S. jobs. Employment in the auto-parts industry will rise, but slightly fewer Americans will be making finished vehicles because the added manufacturing costs will lead to higher prices, thus reducing consumer demand, the ITC said.

An economic payoff could be years away

Trump has touted the USMCA as “the best and most important trade deal ever made by the USA,” but the deal is not expected to significantly increase trade within the region.

Much of the framework for it comes from NAFTA, which already eliminated most tariffs between the U.S., Mexico and Canada.

The USMCA will grow the U.S. economy by $68.2 billion, or 0.35 percent, by the sixth year it is in effect, according to the ITC.

Still, many officials and trade experts say the USMCA’s biggest strength is its "modernization" chapters, which, in part, take stock of how the internet has changed trade since NAFTA began in 1994.

The revised deal, for example, prohibits the three countries from slapping duties on digital products like movies, books or other streaming material — a win for tech companies like Netflix and Amazon.

North American officials and economists agree that the USMCA going into effect is good news as it takes away the years of uncertainty arising from Trump’s threat to withdraw from NAFTA altogether.

“The resilience of the North American marketplace and the reliability of our supply chains is going to be essential to getting all three countries to a place where we can recover from the challenges that we're facing,” Hillman said.

But business leaders have cautioned that it’ll be tough to capitalize on new benefits and comply with the rules as companies struggle to recover from the pandemic.

“The Covid-19 pandemic and economic downturn may make adapting to these new rules even more challenging,” the heads of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Canadian Chamber of Commerce and Mexico’s Consejo Coordinador Empresarial said on Wednesday.



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Human rights groups turn their sights on Trump's America


The Trump administration was in panic mode.

The United Nations Human Rights Council was debating launching a special investigation of racism in America after the killing of George Floyd, a Black man who died in police custody. And the United States was determined to derail any such probe.

That the Trump administration cared so much was surprising: It had quit the council two years ago, calling it an anti-Israel “cesspool of political bias” and denouncing its membership for including human rights abusing countries.

Publicly, U.S. officials kept their cool as the mid-June discussions played out. Behind the scenes, however, the State Department was scrambling to avert a public relations disaster, dispatching its diplomats to pull strings and call in favors.

Lana Marks, the U.S. ambassador in South Africa, reached out to top officials there, telling them a probe aimed squarely at the U.S. “would be an extreme measure that should be reserved for countries that are not taking action in response to human rights issues, which is clearly not the case in the United States,” according to a diplomatic cable obtained by POLITICO. South Africa isn’t on the council, but it chairs the African Union, and South African officials assured Marks that they’d use their diplomatic heft to help the U.S. avoid embarrassment.

The pressure worked — the 47-member council didn’t order a U.S.-focused probe, instead requesting a broader report on anti-Black racism worldwide. But that it came so close to doing so illustrates how international activists, groups and institutions are increasingly focusing on the United States as a villain, not a hero, on the subject of human rights. While the U.S. has never fully escaped such scrutiny — consider the post-9/11 fury over torture, Guantanamo Bay and drone strikes — former officials and activists say that, under President Donald Trump, American domestic strife is raising an unusual level of alarm alongside U.S. actions on the global stage. Some groups also flag what they say is an erosion of democracy in a country that has long styled itself as a beacon of freedom.

The enhanced scrutiny comes as Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has created a commission tasked with rethinking the U.S. approach to human rights. Pompeo argues there’s been a questionable proliferation of what counts as human rights. Critics fear the commission, whose report is due this summer, will undercut the rights of women, LGBTQ people and others.

Former U.S. officials say that, above all, what has put America’s human rights record in question is Trump’s disregard for the issue and his affinity for authoritarian leaders. When Trump has condemned human rights abuses, it’s generally been in select situations that cost him little political capital or when it can bolster his electoral base — as in the case of Iran and Venezuela.

The void has exasperated advocates from both parties.

“The Trump factor is huge, if not the determinative factor” in the battered U.S. reputation, said David Kramer, a former assistant secretary of State for human rights in the George W. Bush administration. “People advocating and fighting for democracy, human rights and freedom around the world are disillusioned by the U.S. government and don’t view the current administration as a true partner.”

‘The indispensable nation’

In early June, the International Crisis Group did something its leaders said was a historic first: It issued a statement on an internal crisis in the United States. The ICG, an independent organization headquartered in Belgium, analyzes geopolitics with the goal of preventing conflict. It is known for issuing authoritative, deeply sourced reports on war-torn countries — say, how to end the brutal conflict in Yemen.

The ICG’s statement detailed the peaceful protests, occasional violence, police crackdowns and political reactions that followed the killing of Floyd, who died May 25 after a Minneapolis police officer knelt on his neck for nearly 8 minutes. In language similar to how it might describe fragile foreign states, the ICG cast the “unrest” as a crisis that “put the nation’s political divides on full display.” And it chided the Trump administration for “incendiary, panicky rhetoric that suggests the U.S. is in armed conflict with its own people.”

“Over the long term, the nation will need to take steps to end the police’s brutality and militarization as well as structural racial inequality if it wants to avoid similar future crises,” the ICG said. “At present, however, what the country’s leadership most needs to do is insist that those culpable for Floyd’s killing are brought to justice, stand in support of those local officials and community leaders who are calling for calm and reform, abandon its martial rhetoric and stop making the situation worse.”

Rob Malley, ICG’s president and CEO, was an aide to former President Barack Obama, but he said the idea for the statement came from colleagues. The ICG decided it saw a confluence of factors in America that it sees in far more troubled countries. One appeared to be growing militarization of the police. Another was the seeming politicization of the military. Also key: Some U.S. political leaders, including Trump, seem determined to exploit racial divisions instead of pushing for unity. The ICG is now debating whether to launch a program that focuses on U.S. domestic issues in a systematic way, Malley said.

Malley stressed that past U.S. administrations, Republican and Democrat, all had credibility gaps when it came to promoting human rights while protecting U.S. interests. Obama, for instance, was criticized for authorizing drone strikes against militants that often killed civilians.

But under Trump, those credibility gaps have turned into a “canyon,” Malley said. “I think there’s a qualitative difference with this administration, for whom human rights seems to be treated purely as a transactional currency,” he said.

The ICG’s statement came after head-turning moves by similar institutions.

In 2019, Freedom House released a special essay titled “The Struggle Comes Home: Attacks on Democracy in the United States.” The Washington-based NGO, which receives the bulk of its funding from the U.S. government, was established in 1941 to fight fascism. Its report, which ranks how free countries are using various indicators, described a decline in U.S. democracy that predated Trump and was fueled in part by political polarization. Freedom House warned, however, that Trump was accelerating it.

“No president in living memory has shown less respect for [U.S. democracy’s] tenets, norms, and principles,” the report said. “Trump has assailed essential institutions and traditions including the separation of powers, a free press, an independent judiciary, the impartial delivery of justice, safeguards against corruption, and most disturbingly, the legitimacy of elections.”

Other groups have slammed the Trump administration’s dismantling of much of the U.S. refugee resettlement program, its aversion to accepting asylum-seekers, its travel bans on people from several Muslim-majority countries, and its treatment of migrants in general. Groups like Amnesty International’s U.S. section have substantially increased their work on such migration issues under Trump, including hiring more staff and conducting more research missions along the U.S.-Mexico border, said Joanne Lin, Amnesty International USA’s national advocacy director. Amnesty is one of the few international human rights organizations that has a programmatic focus on the United States.

The international furor against the Trump administration was especially intense in mid-2018, as the U.S. was separating migrant children from their parents at the southern border, then putting the children in detention camps.

The U.N. high commissioner for human rights called the U.S. actions “unconscionable.”

Floyd’s death recently spurred more than 30 human rights and related groups, many of which tend to focus their work outside the United States, to take out a full-page advertisement in the Minneapolis Star-Tribune to show solidarity with the Black Lives Matter movement.

“The public is not an armed opposition group. Everyone has the right to speak up and to demonstrate peacefully,” the ad says. The signatories includ groups such as Save the Children, Mercy Corps and Refugees International.
Human rights leaders acknowledge that America’s troubles are nowhere near as worrisome as what they see in many other countries. They argue, however, that the U.S. deserves outsize attention.

“There is intense racism and law enforcement abuse of human rights in China, in Russia, in Brazil and a lot of other countries that the United Nations has a hard time mustering the will to condemn,” said Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-N.J.), a former senior human rights official under Obama. “But none of those countries is the indispensable nation. What human rights organizations and institutions are saying by focusing on the United States is something that they cannot explicitly admit, and that is that they believe in American exceptionalism. They understand that America falling short of its ideals has a far greater impact on the world than a Russia or a China doing what we all expect those authoritarian states to do.”

‘What do they want?’


Trump was clear from the outset that he would not prioritize human rights. He used his 2016 campaign to call for bringing back torture and killing the family members of terrorists. He also showed little regard for international institutions meant to serve as a check on the behavior of governments. If he says anything meaningful in support of human rights, it’s often in a scripted format such as in a speech.

But abroad, those statements often are not taken as seriously as Trump’s impromptu comments on Twitter and beyond.

Trump's about-face on North Korea is instructive. Early on, he repeatedly slammed country's human rights record,
calling its totalitarian leader, Kim Jong Un, a “madman who doesn’t mind starving or killing his people.” But once Kim agreed to meet with Trump for historic nuclear talks, the U.S. president stopped raising human rights. After their first meeting in June 2018, Trump declared that Kim “loves his people.”

Activists hoped that if Trump didn’t care about human rights, his subordinates might. On that front, they’ve found a mixed picture.

Trump’s first secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, said the United States should not let values — including views on how other governments treat their people — create “obstacles” to pursuing its national interests. Tillerson was nuanced in his statement, but his comments upset many U.S. diplomats.

A top State Department official, Brian Hook, later wrote a memo to Tillerson arguing that the U.S. should use human rights as a weapon against adversaries, like Iran and China. But repressive allies, such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia, should get a pass, it said. “Allies should be treated differently — and better — than adversaries. Otherwise, we end up with more adversaries, and fewer allies,” Hook wrote.



In hindsight, the memo appears to have laid out the policy approach the Trump administration has taken on human rights, even after Tillerson was fired in early 2018. His successor, Mike Pompeo, frequently weighs in on human rights but almost exclusively to bash governments hostile to the United States or, occasionally, ones with which the U.S. has limited strategic interest.

It’s a notable change from previous administrations. Whether Republican or Democrat, top officials in the past would offer at least lip service — a condemnatory statement or maybe a small move, like limiting weapons sales — to express frustrations with abuses in U.S. partner countries. The Trump team rarely does even that minimum. If it does, it’s usually because of public pressure. Instead, it sometimes goes to great lengths to protect abusive U.S partners, as it has done by pressing ahead with arms sales to Saudi Arabia despite its assassination of a writer for The Washington Post.

“The current administration doesn’t think most of its supporters care about international violations of human rights broadly,” said Sarah Snyder, a human rights historian who teaches at American University. “And it rejects the idea that the U.S. needs to be a good citizen on these issues. … There’s just a wholesale rejection of the idea that the U.S. should be bound by any of these international agreements.”

Trump aides dismiss such criticisms as unfair and unrealistic, routinely defending the president regardless of his own past comments on human rights.

“Whether it’s freedom for the people of Hong Kong, human rights for the Rohingya, all across the world, @realDonaldTrump has understood that it’s important for America to be a true beacon for freedom and liberty and human rights around the globe,” Pompeo tweeted June 23.

Privately, administration officials say they do a lot of excellent human rights work that doesn’t get attention. They note that Congress has kept up funding for much of that work, even though Trump has tried to slash that funding. They also argue that the Trump team’s objectives and priorities are clearer than those of past administrations, especially when distinguishing friend from foe. While Obama tried to engage Tehran and Havana, the Trump administration casts those regimes as irredeemable, and it’s willing to attack them on human rights to weaken them. On the other hand, while Obama kept Hungary’s leader at a distance, Trump has welcomed him to the White House. Critics may see that as another example of Trump liking dictators, but his aides say it is a way to limit Russian and Chinese influence in Eastern Europe.

“Human rights are a part, and an important part, of American foreign policy. But they are a part,” one senior State Department official said. “National security is critical. Economic and commercial factors are also vital.”

Trump administration officials also say human rights activists are never satisfied, no matter who is in the White House. This is not an unfair argument: The groups routinely criticize even administrations most friendly to their cause. Bush was eviscerated over his handling of the war on terrorism, especially his decision to invade Iraq, even though he and his aides asserted that they were liberating and protecting people. Obama’s human rights legacy was declared “shaky.” For U.S. officials who must make choices between bad and worse options every day, the endless criticism is frustrating.

“The international human rights community — what do they want?” a second senior State Department official asked. “Do they want to make a symbol, in which case they can all feel good and go home? Or do they want to get down in trenches where we are and work?”



Pompeo’s disdain for the human rights community is one reason he created what’s known as the Commission on Unalienable Rights. The secretary asserts that activists keep trying to create categories of rights, and that “not everything good, or everything granted by a government, can be a universal right.”

Rights activists worry the panel will craft a “hierarchy” of rights that will undermine protections for women, LGBTQ people and others, while possibly elevating religious freedom above other rights. They’ve organized letters, testified before the commission and even sued to try to derail its work.

Asked if the panel will craft a “hierarchy” of rights, the first senior State Department official downplayed the possibility but didn’t rule it out. “If there’s any one idea to which every member on the commission is clearly committed, it’s the idea that the country is properly dedicated to human rights. Human rights are the rights that are inherent in all persons. The commission takes that as our starting premise,” the official said.

Sanctions and sacraments

Human rights leaders say there are two noteworthy bright spots in the Trump administration’s record.

It has put significant resources into promoting international religious freedom — routinely speaking out on the topic, holding annual ministerial gatherings about it, and launching an international coalition of countries to promote the ideal. A few weeks ago, Trump issued an executive order instructing Pompeo to further integrate the promotion of religious freedom in U.S. diplomacy.

The administration also has used a relatively new legal tool, the Global Magnitsky Act, to impose economic sanctions on numerous individuals implicated in human rights abuses abroad. The sanctions have fallen on people ranging from Myanmar military officials suspected in the mass slaughter of Rohingya Muslims to an allegedly abusive Pakistani police official.

Human rights activists have welcomed such moves by the Trump administration, saying they have brought needed notice to people and areas that often don’t get it.

“In comparison to the remainder of its human rights record, the Trump administration’s use of the Global Magnitsky sanctions has exceeded expectations,” said Rob Berschinski, a senior official with Human Rights First.

Still, rights activists say the initiatives appear somewhat politicized. The religious freedom alliance, for instance, includes countries such as Hungary, whose government the U.S. is trying to court but which traffics in anti-Semitic rhetoric. The religious freedom push also dovetails with a priority of Trump’s evangelical supporters, who have long pushed for greater protection of Christian communities overseas.


As far as the Magnitsky sanctions, the administration has mainly kept the penalties limited to people in countries it considers adversaries or where the U.S. has limited interests. And because the sanctions target individuals, they’re less likely to cause friction with governments. Under intense outside pressure, the administration imposed Magnitsky sanctions on more than a dozen Saudis for the murder of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi; but it spared the man the U.S. intelligence community considers responsible for the killing, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, whom Trump has defended.

The dire situation of Uighur Muslims in China illustrates how both the Magnitsky effort and the religious freedom effort have collided with Trump’s own priorities.

The Trump administration has long seen China as a U.S. foe, and relations with the ruling Communist Party have hit new lows since the coronavirus pandemic began. But Trump has sought to maintain a good personal relationship with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, in part because he’s been trying to strike trade deals with Beijing. In recent years, the Chinese government has detained more than a million Uighur Muslims, putting them in camps from which ugly reports of abuse have emerged. China claims it is “reeducating” the Uighurs to stamp out terrorist thinking in the population. Republican and Democratic lawmakers in Congress are furious over the detention of the Uighurs.

Pompeo, meanwhile, has raised the Uighurs as an example of why the U.S. must promote religious freedom.
But Trump has been unwilling to use the Magnitsky sanctions on Chinese officials involved in the mistreatment of the Uighurs. He told Axios he doesn't want to impose the penalties because it might derail trade talks with Beijing, the success of which he sees as critical to his reelection. According to a new book by former national security adviser John Bolton, Trump even expressed support for the mass internment of the Muslims in talks with Xi. Trump denies this.

Some foreign governments have seen the mixed U.S. messaging on human rights as a green light to pursue oppressive policies. Trump’s diatribes against journalists — and his claims that many legitimate media outlets are “fake news” — are believed to have inspired some countries to impose tougher laws curtailing press freedoms.

U.S. adversaries also have used Floyd’s death and its fallout as propaganda to try to convince their people that Washington has no business lecturing them on human rights when it can’t solve its own problems. When the State Department spokesperson recently tweeted out criticism of Beijing’s treatment of pro-democracy activists in Hong Kong, a Chinese official tweeted back at her with some of Floyd’s last words: “I can’t breathe.”

Who’s the hypocrite?

Rival countries have long sought to capitalize on racial strife inside the United States.

In 1957, when Arkansas’ governor used the National Guard to block nine Black students from attending an all-white
high school, the Soviet Union mocked the U.S. with headlines like “Troops Advance Against Children!” And when President Dwight Eisenhower sent troops from the 101st Airborne to escort the Black students into the school, he invoked America’s Cold War struggle to justify the move. “Our enemies are gloating over this incident and using it everywhere to misrepresent our whole nation,” he said.

Publicly, the Trump team has shown little patience for international human rights criticism directed at the United States, especially when it comes from or U.N. bodies or rivals like China. Instead of ignoring the criticism, it often fires back.



In 2018, a U.N. envoy, Philip Alston, unveiled the findings of an investigation into poverty in the United States. Alston has said he was initially invited to study the topic under the Obama administration, but that the Trump administration — under Tillerson — had reextended the invite. Alston’s report minced few words. The United States, he reported, was home to tens of millions of people in poverty, and that was likely to be exacerbated by Trump’s economic policies.

Nikki Haley, then the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, fought back. She called Alston’s work “misleading and politically motivated,” insisted that the Trump administration’s plans would lift people out of poverty, and argued that the U.N. should focus on poverty in less-developed countries.

More recently, the Trump administration has lashed out at the International Criminal Court over its efforts to investigate war crimes in Afghanistan, a probe that would cover actions by U.S. troops. The United States is not a member of the ICC, with many Democrats as well as Republicans unwilling to subject Americans to its jurisdiction. The Trump administration did more than refuse to cooperate: It threatened to impose economic sanctions on ICC staffers and warned it may bar them and their families from entering the U.S.

The Geneva-based Human Rights Council’s consideration of an investigation into U.S.-based racism saw the Trump administration work multiple levers, even though it had walked away from its council membership.

The discussion was held at the behest of several African countries on the council and was backed by numerous human rights groups as well as Floyd’s brother Philonise. It was unusual in that it was called an “urgent debate” — a format the council doesn’t often use. The initial request was for the council to establish a “commission of inquiry” — its most powerful tool of scrutiny — into the United States. U.S. rivals such as China and Russia, meanwhile, used the occasion to decry racism in America. In quotes sent to reporters, U.S. envoy Andrew Bremberg acknowledged “shortcomings” in the United States but insisted that, unlike some of its autocratic rivals, the U.S. government was being “transparent” and responsive in dealing with racism and police brutality.

When Marks, the U.S. ambassador in Pretoria, sought South African officials’ influence in shaping the council’s debate, she was repeatedly reassured, according to the diplomatic cable. One senior South African official emphasized that his country’s leadership “was committed to further strengthening and consolidating its partnership with the United States.” The official said South Africa would — presumably through its relations with African countries on the council — “seek to redirect the conversation away from a specific focus on the United States and towards a more general, universal discussion of racism.”

Ultimately, the African countries relented. The council instead requested a broader, more generic U.N. report on systemic racism and police brutality against Black people and also asked for information on how various governments worldwide deal with anti-racism protests. The resolution did, however, mention the Floyd death and the report is expected to cover the United States, among other countries.

That was too much for Pompeo.

In a statement titled, “On the Hypocrisy of U.N. Human Rights Council,” the secretary of State pointed out that dictatorships like Venezuela were members of the multilateral body and said the results of the urgent debate had made the United States even more confident it was right to quit the council.

“If the council were serious about protecting human rights, there are plenty of legitimate needs for its attention, such as the systemic racial disparities in places like Cuba, China, and Iran,” Pompeo said.

“If the council were honest,” he added, “it would recognize the strengths of American democracy and urge authoritarian regimes around the world to model American democracy and to hold their nations to the same high standards of accountability and transparency that we Americans apply to ourselves."



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Tuesday, June 30, 2020

Kushner shakes up Trump campaign team


White House senior adviser Jared Kushner has engineered a shake-up in President Donald Trump’s reelection campaign in the aftermath of a botched Tulsa rally, according to three people familiar with the matter.

Kushner on Tuesday replaced chief operating officer Michael Glassner with Jeff DeWit, who held the same position in Trump’s 2016 campaign. The decision to remove Glassner, who has been overseeing the president’s rallies, is being seen internally as an effort to designate blame for the Tulsa disaster. The June 20 rally was marred by the sight of thousands of empty seats.

The news was first reported by Axios.

Glassner, one of Trump’s longest-serving campaign aides, is being shifted to a different role in which he will be helping to oversee the campaign’s various legal battles. Trump campaign spokesman Tim Murtaugh said the decision was “not a reaction to Tulsa.”

“Michael Glassner is moving into the long-term role of navigating the many legal courses we face, including suits against major media outlets, some of which will likely extend beyond the end of the campaign. He is one of the founding members of Team Trump and his dedication to the success of the President is unmatched,” Murtaugh added.

But two people said the shuffle was a direct result of the Oklahoma rally and contended that Glassner was being positioned — perhaps unfairly — as the fall guy for the imbroglio. While Glassner has been active in arranging logistics for Trump’s rallies, few internally pointed the finger at him for the failure to fill the arena.

The move comes at a treacherous moment for the president, with polls showing him trailing Joe Biden by substantial margins. Kushner has been effectively overseeing the campaign from the White House, but with four months until the election, he is expected to become even more hands-on.

DeWit, a former Arizona state treasurer, is a Trump loyalist who played a key role in the president’s 2016 win. Trump later nominated him to serve as chief operating officer at NASA, a position DeWit stepped down from earlier this year.

DeWit had been in talks with Kushner for several weeks. In his new position, he will oversee everything from budgeting to the planning of events and rallies.

Trump, who has been mostly cooped up in the White House amid the coronavirus pandemic, has been eager to hit the trail. But the Tulsa failure has stymied his plans. The campaign has been weighing holding smaller events though it has yet to schedule any.



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